Estimation methods

Ridge regression #

The ridge estimator (Hoerl & Kennard, 1970) can be written as

\[\hat{\beta}_{Ridge} = (X'X+\lambda I_p)^{-1}X'y.\]

Thus, even if the regressor matrix is not full rank (e.g. because \(p>N\) ), the problem becomes nonsingular by adding a constant to the diagonal of \(X'X\) . Another advantage of the ridge estimator over least squares stems from the variance-bias trade-off. Ridge regression may improve over ordinary least squares by inducing a mild bias while decreasing the variance. For this reason, ridge regression is a popular method in the context of multicollinearity. In contrast to estimators relying on \(\ell_1\) -penalization, the ridge does not yield sparse solutions and keeps all predictors in the model.

Lasso estimator #

The lasso minimizes the residual sum of squares (RSS) subject to a constraint on the absolute size of coefficient estimates. Tibshirani (1996) motivates the lasso with two major advantages over least squares. First, due to the nature of the \(\ell_1\) -penalty, the lasso tends to produce sparse solutions and thus facilitates model interpretation. Secondly, similar to ridge regression, lasso can outperform least squares in terms of prediction due to lower variance. Another advantage is that the lasso is computationally attractive due to its convex form. This is in contrast to model selection based on AIC or BIC (which employ \(\ell_0\) penalization) where each possible sub-model has to be estimated.

Elastic net #

The elastic net applies a mix of \(\ell_1\) (lasso-type) and \(\ell_2\) (ridge-type) penalization. It combines some of the strengths of lasso and ridge regression. In the presence of groups of correlated regressors, the lasso selects typically only one variable from each group, whereas the ridge tends to produce similar coefficient estimates for groups of correlated variables. On the other hand, the ridge does not yield sparse solutions impeding model interpretation. The elastic net is able to produce sparse solutions (for some \(\alpha\) greater than zero) and retains (or drops) correlated variables jointly. (Zou & Hastie, 2005)

Adaptive lasso #

The lasso is only variable selection consistent under the rather strong irrepresentable condition, which imposes constraints on the degree of correlation between predictors in the true model and predictors outside of the model (see Zhao & Yu, 2006; Meinshausen & Bühlmann, 2006). Zou (2006) proposes the adaptive lasso which uses penalty loadings \(|\hat\beta_{0,j}|^{-\theta}\) for \(j=1,...,p\) where \(\hat\beta_{0,j}\) is an initial estimator. The adaptive lasso is variable-selection consistent for fixed \(p\) under weaker assumptions than the standard lasso. If \(p<N\) , OLS can be used as the initial estimator. Huang et al. (2008) suggest to use univariate OLS if \(p>N\) . Other initial estimators are possible. (Zou, 2006)

Square-root lasso #

The sqrt-lasso is a modification of the lasso that minimizes sqrt(RSS) instead of RSS, while also imposing an \(\ell_1\) -penalty. The main advantage of the sqrt-lasso over the standard lasso is that the theoretically grounded, data-driven optimal \(\lambda\) is independent of the unknown error variance under homoskedasticity. (Belloni et al., 2011, 2014)

Post-estimation OLS #

Penalized regression methods induce a bias that can be alleviated by post-estimation OLS, which applies OLS to the predictors selected by the first-stage variable selection method. For the case of the lasso, Belloni and Chernozhukov (2013) have shown that the post-lasso OLS performs at least as well as the lasso under mild additional assumptions.

For further information on the lasso and related methods, see for example the textbooks by Hastie et al. (2009, 2015; both available for free) and Bühlmann & Van de Geer (2011).